Mowat also mentioned that the US Federal Reserve has been extremely aggressive in tightening its monetary policy.from Moneycontrol Market Outlook https://ift.tt/S2e9FYW
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Mowat also mentioned that the US Federal Reserve has been extremely aggressive in tightening its monetary policy.
Hemant Kanawala of Kotak Mahindra Life says if the US Fed continues to raise rates, then the expectation is that short term rates will be more than 10-year paper increasing the probability of recession.
Trideep Bhattacharya of Edelweiss AMC says while consensus expectations are pegged around a 50bps hike at the moment, RBI Governor#39;s narrative is likely to be dependent on the signs of near-term peak in inflation in India.
In an interview with CNBC TV-19, Nilesh Shah shared his views on the IT sector, markets, auto space and what he sees as the way forward.
Divam Sharma of Green Portfolio says since the June lows, the markets have seen a sustainable recovery, and given the domestic demand and insignificant recession risk for India, we do not see the market breaking the June lows.
Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 index now down nearly 9 percent each from their highs hit earlier this month and touching distance from entering a correction territory
Anand Varadarajan of Asit C Mehta says inflation and recession continue to be a big worry for central banks across the board.
At Sanctum, we have positioned our portfolios with a focus on multi-year broad themes including housing, manufacturing and financial services, said Hemang Kapasi
Sandeep Bagla of TRUST AMC says it is quite possible that markets go through a severe, sharp, and sustained sell-off. Probably defensives like FMCG could fall marginally lesser than other sectors.
The worst is behind Indian corporate earnings. Will prefer domestic consumption stories over globally exposed businesses, Jain says.
Indian equity market will be vulnerable going ahead due to accelerated tightening of the US Federal Reserveâs balance sheet and higher global interest rates
Chandraprakash Padiyar of Tata Asset Management thinks IT sector is facing an issue of high expectations. Business growth is likely to be somewhere around 10 percent on a sustainable basis for the sector.
Harshat Patil of Tata AIA Life Insurance says India remains among the few sweet spots in the otherwise tepid global economy. Given this context, we believe that the FIIs cannot afford to ignore the Indian economy for long and would have to invest in the Indian equity markets in the medium term.
All sectoral indices trade in the green so are the broader marker indices. Nifty Metal makes the biggest gain followed by indices representing banks and financials
All sectoral indices trade in the green so are the broader marker indices. Nifty Metal makes the biggest gain followed by indices representing banks and financials
If India is able to maintain a stable macro-economic environment (fiscal and current account deficit, inflation) and demonstrate consistent corporate earnings growth, over the medium term we should remain an attractive destination for FIIs.
Niraj Kumar of Future Generali says the narrative could soon turn towards growth fears versus inflation fears, which will likely lower the US Fedâs hawkishness. This is likely to happen around the end of 2022.
However, Dr. Vikas Gupta, founder, OmniScience Capital, feels that Indiaâs story remains strong and that the RBI will be optimistic on growth as well as inflation, and benign on interest rate hikes.
Sonam Srivastava of Wright Research says India has the highest growth projections in the next year and has even picked up price momentum in the last three months. Our valuations are low compared to history, and the currency is cheap for foreign investors to buy.
With most commodity prices correcting in the current quarter, a significant amount of the margin miss may likely reverse in the second half of the year.
Indian equity market valuations are slightly on the higher side vis-Ã -vis historical averages, with the Nifty 1 year forward P/E at about 20x, which opens up the possibility of a correction â price correction or time correction â until earnings catch up with the valuations.
We expect that RBI will be more pressured to control raging inflation as central bank is mandated by Government to maintain retail inflation at 4 percent with a 2 percent margin on either side for a five-year period ending March 2026.
Anitha Rangan of Equirus says liquidity tool is at the disposal of RBI and therefore gives more flexibility to RBI to manage actions more dynamically rather than repo which is an MPC tool with less flexibility of dynamic changes.
HDFC Securities#39; preferred sectors are large cap banks and IT, industrial and real estate, power, autos and they continue to add positions in long-term thematics (eg. City Gas, financial inclusion - Insurance and Capital Markets), says Unmesh Sharma.
Karan Doshi of LIC MF says India might be the brightest spot in relative comparison among other economies in the PMI chart with Eurozone in contraction and US also slowing down. This in return may set the stage for capex recovery from the private side.
Ram Kalyan Medury of Jama Wealth says most of the cement stocks are still down by 20 percent to 40 percent from their peaks. This is a cyclical sector and one has to be careful about entering the sector at the right time.
The European Central Bank (ECB) on September 8 raised its policy rates by an unprecedented 75 basis points to deal with inflation in the continent. Another similar hike may also be in the offing during the next policy meeting, the central bank hinted.
Amnish Aggarwal of Prabhudas Lilladher believes India is on the verge of a big capex cycle recovery which will play out in coming few years.
Amnish Aggarwal of Prabhudas Lilladher believes India is on the verge of a big capex cycle recovery which will play out in coming few years.
Lohchab said he is positive on large banks, echoing many others including those at Morgan Stanley that rerated the entire banking sector earlier this week. He said he prefers ICICI Bank, Axis Bank and SBI among them. He is also positive on NBFCs like Chola Finance.
The NSE Nifty 50 index was up 0.84 percent or 149 points at 17,773, while the SP BSE Sensex rose 0.92 percent or 540 points to 59,570.
Santosh Joseph of Germinate Investor Services LLP says the private banks will continue to enjoy a premium. Since Covid, if there is one sector that has really not done as much as the markets generally have done, it is the financials and the private banks in particular.
What has surprised some money managers is that the credit growth has jumped in India when global issues have resurfaced, and a global economic slowdown looks imminent. That means, Indian lenders are bucking the global trend.
What has surprised some money managers is that the credit growth has jumped in India when global issues have resurfaced, and a global economic slowdown looks imminent. That means, Indian lenders are bucking the global trend.
Kotak Institutional Equities believes the theory is far from the truth and investors like what they see or only see what they like
The probability is very high that Indian exports will slow down. Consumer sentiment indicators are down in US, EU and China.
Divam Sharma of Green Portfolio says this year seems to be a year of consolidation for the sector. The economic slowdown and potential recession in some of the developed nations will impact the sentiments and order flows for the sector.
From a 6-12 month perspective, Nandurkar is cautious about the market outlook.
Anshul Saigal of Kotak Mahindra Asset Management Company expects a secular uptick in Energy and Defence spending over the next few years. Job growth opportunities would be created in these sectors as a result.
Going forward, Venkatesh Sanjeevi of Franklin Templeton Asset Management (India) expects further rate hikes by RBI and a terminal policy rate of 6-6.25 percent by end FY23.
As the global central banks become less aggressive in rising interest rates, Anil Rego of Right Horizons expects the FII inflows to increase.
From a 3 to 5 years perspective, PGIM India remains constructive on Indian Equities given the fact that the Indian economy would be one of the fastest growing economies in the world, says Surjitt Singh Arora.Artificial intelligence deals propelled the S&P 500 and Nasdaq higher on Monday, with Amazon's $38 billion agreement with OpenAI and...